State of the Market|Reading the Psychology of the market

2008-2009-2010

I made the above slide show on 31st December. Let us look back at some of the interesting posts of Jan 2010

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Friday was a great turnaround trading day for Nifty intra-day traders. I have always found IIP days/Credit Policy day to be great trading opportunity days purely from intra-day perspective.

Here’s why?

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How are sectors contributing to overall market’s performance. Well, let us have a look at the last one week and last month sectoral performance to get a deeper understanding of where different sectors stand.

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There is tug of war that seems to be going on between FIIs and DIIs. It’s hard to understand why suddenly FIIs have turned so bearish. The liquidity withdrawal looks alarming now. The good news is that DIIs are giving them good fight otherwise our market would have tumbled much more than what prices suggest now.

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Charts have been badly damaged by the selling of last one week and it would be wishful thinking to just imagine that market will do an instant turnaround. Times like these, it is best to err on the side of caution. Remember, the world is still in mess and one should not be dismissive of anything. Sell first…think later seems to be the theme now.

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Pictures speak louder than words.

Let us look at the chart of following stocks to understand what each of the charts want to tell us -

• NIFTY
• RELIANCE
• ONGC

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Globally, traders are really concerned and this time not on Economy or earnings but on policy direction. A new theme - Long Volker Rule and Short Bernanke Easy money trade is being talked about which means US Financial system should brace itself for stringent regulation with tighter monetary policy. This deadly combination can have a serious implications on Global liquidity; and asset prices.

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I have compiled Technical observations of top 200 traded stocks. This section is for members who contribute to my website.

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Globally, the market has decisively broken the trend that has been in place for 10 months. The Big question: Can 3 Ds = DIIs [Liquidity] + Decoupling Theory [Fundamentals] + Dip Buyers [Strategy] save our market from relentless selling pressure from FIIs?

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How are sectors contributing to overall market’s performance. Well, let us have a look at the last one week and last month sectoral performance to get a deeper understanding of where different sectors stand.

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